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Nathan eovaldi pitch repertoire1/3/2024 ![]() This looks a little bit grim for Ray, but it requires some context. Not only does he have the tendency to get victimized by the long ball, none of his other fielding-independent stats match Cole’s: If you think the best way to determine pitcher value is to focus your analysis on strikeouts, walks, and home runs, Ray’s case weakens significantly. However, there is still a debate to be had between the two and it comes down to the best way to value pitchers. The total value numbers are relatively similar and Ray bests Cole when things get less tangible. There’s a case to be made for leaving it at that. Even if Toronto misses the playoffs, he probably has more narrative goodwill with the voters - especially considering Cole became a face of the “sticky stuff” controversy earlier in the season. Ray, on the other hand, has the underdog story working in his favour considering that disastrous 2020 he had, and if the Blue Jays reach the Wild Card game there will be no doubt they couldn’t have gotten there without him. It doesn’t help Cole’s case that he laid an egg in his biggest start of the season on Wednesday night, and his September ERA sits at 5.13. The 31-year-old did much of his best work early in the season, and if the Yankees make the playoffs, which is extraordinarily likely at this point, the perception will be that Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton got them there - not their ace. ![]() This aspect of the race is somewhat unresolved due to the Blue Jays’ unknown playoff fate, but there are some components that are resolved.Ĭole has name recognition and a superior win total in his favour, but he doesn’t have too much more to recommend him. There’s an argument to be made that MLB awards are being given more on merit in recent years than they have in the past - no one is winning a Gold Glove based on just 28 games in the field like Rafael Palmeiro did back in 1999 - but that doesn’t mean voters are immune to a good narrative. There’s a significant difference between how the two models see Ray - we’ll circle back on that - but there isn’t a big enough advantage for either pitcher to establish a frontrunner on this basis. Ray.Īlthough not everyone agrees on which version of WAR is the best, or how much weight the metrics should carry, the reality is that Wins Above Replacement will be the first port of call for many awards voters. ![]() Although a tortured FIP-based argument could be made for Nathan Eovaldi to factor into the race, the reality is that this is Cole vs. ![]() The question for the southpaw is whether that will be enough, and the answer to that will depend on how voters feel he compares to Yankees ace Gerrit Cole. He’s been nothing short of spectacular, and from his simplified two-pitch repertoire to his internet-famous pants, he’s put up his eye-popping numbers in style. Ray came into the year as the ultimate wild card, and he’s finishing it as a pitcher his team specifically lined up for a Wild Card Game. ![]()
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